Best NFL Week 7 upset bets: Underdogs to target include Giants, Steelers

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The Giants were fresh off an impressive victory over the Seahawks, and were taking on a reeling 1-4 Bengals team that was in desperate need of a victory.

The Eagles, meanwhile, were taking on DVOA’s worst team in the NFL in the Browns, and barely escaped with a 20-16 victory. The Eagles were favored by 8.5 points in that game.

The Eagles are incapable of getting out of their own way, which seems to all stem from the chaotic nature of head coach Nick Sirianni.

The Eagles should have dominated Cleveland, but instead squeaked out a four-point victory after allowing a field goal to get blocked and returned for a touchdown.

This continues the theme of Philadelphia’s season, which has featured back-breaking mistakes each and every week. Overall, the Eagles are the 20th-ranked team according to DVOA, which is a disappointment when considering their overall talent level.

The Giants offense had looked surprisingly decent the previous two games heading into last week’s loss to the Bengals.

They beat the Seahawks two weeks ago, a game in which they held the ball for over 37 minutes of game clock. The week prior to that was a loss to the Cowboys, but that was a similar game in which they were able to consistently move the ball up and down the field, they just could not get into the end zone and had to settle for field goals.

The Eagles red zone defense has admittedly been good this year, but the Giants should at least be able to continue to move the ball between the 20s and score enough to keep this game within a field goal.

Giants +3.5 (-108): 1 Unit

Steelers Moneyline (+108) FanDuel

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:20 p.m. ET

The sportsbooks have this line flipped, as the Steelers should be slight favorites at home against the Jets.

This has been a Jets team that is ripe to fade essentially all year, but due to the big name brand of QB Aaron Rodgers and this week’s splash trade for WR Davante Adams, they are being overvalued.

The Jets are 2-4 on the season, while being 2-4 against the spread as well, showing how they have received too much respect from the sportsbooks.

The reality is this is not a good Jets team, while the Steelers do not beat themselves. Last Sunday, the Steelers were coming off a two game-losing streak, but snapped that with a resounding 32-13 victory over Raiders.

Overall, the Steelers are 4-2 and the 16th-ranked team by DVOA, while the 2-4 Jets are No. 21, according to DVOA.

This is also a bad matchup for the Jets, as their biggest issue on offense has been their offensive line. This week, the NYJ OL is facing a ferocious Steelers pass rush that features NFL Defensive Player of the Year candidate T.J. Watt at DE.

While the Steelers only have the 12th-best pass rush according to DVOA, part of that is due to their second-best pass rusher, Alex Highsmith, being out since Week 3. Reports indicate that he is targeting this game for his return, which would be a major boon to their pass rush.

As for the Steelers QB situation, at the time of this writing, it is unclear whether Justin Fields will continue to start or Russell Wilson will make his Steelers debut.

Justin Fields has not been lighting the world on fire, of course, but he has played relatively clean football, allowing the Steelers to rely on their running game and defense to win these games. That is something Wilson is also capable of doing, so there are no concerns on which QB ends up starting this game.

The Steelers defense should be able to slow down this Jets offense, so we will gladly take the plus money on the Steelers winning this game.

Steelers moneyline (+108): 1 Unit

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